Welcome to the hub page for our housing market forecasts, which were released on 4th November 2026
For more detail behind our thinking, you can find the following articles from our team. Lucian Cook assesses the economic and political drivers across the market for the next five years. Dan Hill and Frances McDonald set out what this means for the mainstream and prime markets.
Dan also tackles the potential for regional variation, and Chris Buckle weighs up the capacity for rental growth as the sector undergoes a supply squeeze. Finally, Emily Williams delves into the influence of policy changes on the activity from different buyer groups.
Economic and Political context
Recovery; but not as you have previously known it
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Prime forecasts
Recovery across the prime markets is likely to take longer than previously expected
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Mainstream forecasts
Mortgage rates key to the recovery
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Regional house price forecast
North-South divide in the second half of the cycle
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Transaction forecast
First-time buyers to lead the recovery
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Rental forecasts
Affordability still stretched, but stock in short supply
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Read the other articles within Residential Forecasts 2027–2031 below






